As partnerships with chipmakers, clouds and consumer platforms balloon, the AI pioneer’s hybrid nonprofit–for‑profit structure faces fresh tests — and investors face a longer, murkier road to cashing out.

SAN FRANCISCO — OpenAI’s latest wave of blockbuster agreements — spanning multibillion‑dollar chip commitments and a widening array of revenue‑sharing partnerships — has injected new complexity into the start‑up’s already unusual ownership and governance model, heightening uncertainty over when and how some of the world’s most powerful shareholders will finally get paid.
In recent weeks OpenAI has announced or detailed expanded tie‑ups with semiconductor makers and infrastructure providers, part of a push to lock down future computing power for its fast‑growing AI products such as ChatGPT and Sora. The company struck a multibillion‑dollar chip development arrangement with Broadcom aimed at custom accelerators and networking gear, and signed a multi‑year purchase pact for advanced processors with AMD, according to company statements and media reports. The infrastructure spree builds on OpenAI’s long‑running alliance with Microsoft’s Azure cloud and a cascade of content and distribution agreements across media, software and devices.
The deals dovetail with an ongoing corporate rework. In May, OpenAI outlined plans to evolve its structure so that the nonprofit parent retains ultimate control while shifting commercial operations into a public‑benefit corporation (PBC). The goal, executives said, is to preserve the mission of ensuring AI benefits humanity while gaining a clearer path to raise capital at scale. In September, OpenAI said it had reached a new framework agreement with Microsoft as part of that transition, pending further regulatory and governance steps.
The convergence of mega‑partnerships and structural change has sharpened a practical question reverberating from Sand Hill Road to Seattle: when will OpenAI’s investors and major partners see liquidity — and what will they actually own when they do?
Unlike a conventional venture‑backed company, OpenAI sits atop a hybrid arrangement built to reconcile two imperatives: mission stewardship and capital intensity. The nonprofit OpenAI Inc. oversees the enterprise and appoints the board. Commercial rights are held below that in a for‑profit entity that historically capped investor returns; the planned PBC conversion would keep nonprofit control but could simplify financing and eventual listing mechanics. Each tweak to this architecture alters incentives, claim seniority and the dilution math that determines who gets what.
‘This is the most complicated cap table in Silicon Valley,’ one long‑time investor quipped. ‘Every new compute deal that brings options, revenue‑shares or convertible instruments into the mix adds another layer between today’s paper valuations and tomorrow’s real cash.’
Over the past year, OpenAI’s reported financials and valuation have surged. Revenue for the first half of 2025 was around $4.3 billion, according to disclosures reported by The Information and cited by Reuters, as enterprise contracts, developer platform fees and licensing income expanded. Private secondary transactions and analyst estimates have pegged the company’s valuation steeply higher than a year ago amid a broader AI investment boom. That said, the company remains in a capital‑hungry build‑out phase, with chip purchases, data center capacity and content licensing all demanding cash up front.
The Broadcom collaboration and AMD supply agreement underscore that reality. OpenAI’s demand for compute keeps ratcheting up as models grow, and locking in supply at scale is strategically invaluable. But such arrangements often come with prepayments, minimum‑purchase obligations, equity kickers or other features that, while reducing operational risk, can subordinate or dilute existing equity holders.
Microsoft’s role complicates the calculus further. The software giant remains OpenAI’s most critical partner and investor — providing cloud infrastructure and integrating OpenAI models across its products — while also negotiating updated revenue‑sharing and governance terms as the start‑up transitions to the PBC. People familiar with the talks say the aim is to clarify economics and voting rights without undercutting the nonprofit’s control mandate. Depending on the final contours, Microsoft could emerge with a substantial but bounded equity position, while employees, the nonprofit parent and other investors split the rest.
For rank‑and‑file employees and recent hires, the implications are equally consequential. OpenAI has used stock grants and tender offers to recruit in a white‑hot talent market. Those shares and options will convert into the new structure — but at what ratio, and against what preference stack? If future fundraising comes with additional preferences or warrants tied to compute or content, employees could find themselves waiting longer for their turn at liquidity, or receiving less than headline valuations imply.
There are precedents. In other capital‑intensive tech sectors, from electric vehicles to cloud infrastructure, hardware‑backed financing has sometimes meant complex waterfalls where vendors and strategic partners are paid first from cash flows, ahead of common equity. AI’s voracious appetite for chips and power puts OpenAI squarely in that tradition — even as its top‑line growth outpaces most peers.
Critics argue the structural shift risks blurring the nonprofit’s mission. Supporters counter that keeping the nonprofit in control while using a PBC for commercial activities is the best available compromise: it enables the company to tap public‑market‑style capital and offer clearer investor protections, without abandoning mission guardrails. Attorneys‑general in California and Delaware have engaged with the company over the governance changes; so far, OpenAI says, the plan retains nonprofit control.
Another source of uncertainty is timing. An IPO remains only one of several liquidity paths. A direct listing or structured secondary sales could accommodate early investors and employees sooner, but both would be shaped by the governance settlement and ongoing commercial obligations. Meanwhile, the secondary market has been active — but at prices that may diverge from any eventual public valuation, and without conferring the clean title and disclosure discipline some investors prefer.
For customers and partners, the near‑term impact may be more straightforward: more capacity means more product. In the past month, OpenAI has announced new enterprise features and additional partnerships across sectors from entertainment and retail to real estate. That commercial breadth is designed to diversify revenue away from a handful of flagship apps and developer usage, strengthening the company’s case for durable growth even as pricing pressure and competition intensify.
Investors, by contrast, are left doing cap‑table trigonometry. How much of the company’s future cash flows will be pre‑committed to chip and infrastructure deals? What revenue‑share terms will apply to foundation model usage embedded in third‑party products? Will the nonprofit’s control rights translate into veto power over transactions that might otherwise maximize shareholder value? Each answer moves the needle on expected returns — and on how soon those returns might arrive.
For now, OpenAI’s message is continuity: accelerate model development, secure compute, expand enterprise sales, and finish the governance re‑architecture with regulators on side. If the company can keep growing revenue at a blistering pace while bedding down massive long‑term supply deals, investors may accept a longer wait for liquidity. If growth stumbles — or if obligations prove heavier than anticipated — pressure for a cleaner, faster payout could intensify.
Either way, 2025 marks an inflection point. The same agreements that underpin OpenAI’s technological and commercial ambitions also insert new claims on future cash flows. Until the structure is settled and the balance sheet less encumbered by build‑out, payout day for powerful shareholders remains in sight — but not yet within reach.
Reporting references: OpenAI blog (May 5, 2025) on structure; Associated Press (Sept. 12, 2025) and Reuters (Oct. 1, 2025) on governance and revenue; recent coverage in The Wall Street Journal, The Times (UK), and others on 2025 chip and infrastructure deals.




